Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.210896e-05 2.667131e-05 0.000032 0.000037 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059
2025-08-03 1.792962e-05 2.407262e-05 0.000031 0.000040 0.000051 0.000063 0.000077
2025-08-10 1.377961e-05 2.048796e-05 0.000029 0.000040 0.000053 0.000069 0.000089
2025-08-17 1.004476e-05 1.662738e-05 0.000025 0.000037 0.000053 0.000072 0.000097
2025-08-24 7.539980e-06 1.388337e-05 0.000023 0.000036 0.000053 0.000075 0.000105
2025-08-31 5.984191e-06 1.217930e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000055 0.000080 0.000114
2025-09-07 4.635433e-06 1.050653e-05 0.000020 0.000035 0.000056 0.000084 0.000122
2025-09-14 3.450155e-06 8.830147e-06 0.000018 0.000033 0.000055 0.000085 0.000128
2025-09-21 2.561794e-06 7.461129e-06 0.000016 0.000032 0.000055 0.000087 0.000134
2025-09-28 1.831326e-06 6.185476e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000054 0.000088 0.000138
2025-10-05 1.432280e-06 5.506221e-06 0.000014 0.000030 0.000055 0.000092 0.000147
2025-10-12 1.143816e-06 4.996502e-06 0.000014 0.000030 0.000057 0.000097 0.000156
2025-10-19 8.510309e-07 4.435416e-06 0.000013 0.000030 0.000059 0.000103 0.000169
2025-10-26 7.449063e-07 4.382644e-06 0.000014 0.000032 0.000065 0.000114 0.000189
2025-11-02 5.077432e-07 3.756119e-06 0.000013 0.000032 0.000066 0.000119 0.000201
2025-11-09 2.742579e-07 2.897683e-06 0.000011 0.000030 0.000065 0.000120 0.000206
2025-11-16 1.449013e-07 2.293696e-06 0.000010 0.000029 0.000064 0.000121 0.000213
2025-11-23 8.254177e-08 1.941282e-06 0.000009 0.000028 0.000065 0.000126 0.000224
2025-11-30 3.865739e-08 1.576580e-06 0.000009 0.000027 0.000066 0.000129 0.000233
2025-12-07 1.254390e-08 1.208302e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000065 0.000130 0.000239
2025-12-14 2.631448e-09 9.223057e-07 0.000007 0.000025 0.000064 0.000132 0.000245
2025-12-21 1.072551e-10 6.698385e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000063 0.000132 0.000250
2025-12-28 9.246166e-19 5.495305e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000064 0.000137 0.000261